Conf = Atlantic Sun State = VA
Nickname = Flames Coach = Kelly NangleGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 85.4274750 home-field advantage = -0.67 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 A Virginia ACC (12- 7, 92.2) 5-20 209 H North Carolina ACC (22- 0, 99.9) 1-23 215 A VCU Atlantic 10 ( 8-11, 82.6) 15- 8 222 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (11- 8, 86.1) 14-13 226 H High Point Big South (12- 6, 85.4) 26-21 301 H Longwood Big South ( 1-14, 72.7) 21- 4 306 H Stetson Atlantic Sun ( 5-11, 78.3) 22- 4 308 H American Patriot ( 5-11, 81.8) 22-13 312 A Pittsburgh ACC ( 8- 8, 88.0) 6-15 322 A Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun ( 8-10, 82.8) 15- 7 329 A Queens Atlantic Sun ( 6-11, 81.3) 18-17 401 A Louisville ACC ( 7-10, 86.2) 10-12 406 H South Florida AAC (13- 5, 87.6) 12-18 410 H Lindenwood Atlantic Sun (10- 6, 80.3) 23-12 412 H Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun ( 5-11, 78.0) 22-18 416 A James Madison AAC (14- 5, 90.5) 6-17 426 A Jacksonville Atlantic Sun (10- 6, 86.0) 10-18 501 H Lindenwood Atlantic Sun (10- 6, 80.3) 17-12 503 H Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun ( 8-10, 82.8) 14- 8 509 A Johns Hopkins Big Ten (13- 7, 92.9) 11-21
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 A Virginia 5-20 -15 -7 0.00 209 H North Carolina 1-23 -22 -13 0.00 215 A VCU 15- 8 7 2 ++ 4.87 222 A Richmond 14-13 1 -1 + 2.34 226 H High Point 26-21 5 0 ++ 4.33 301 H Longwood 21- 4 17 13 0.00 306 H Stetson 22- 4 18 7 0.00 308 H American 22-13 9 4 + 2.73 312 A Pittsburgh 6-15 -9 -3 - -3.80 322 A Coastal Carolina 15- 7 8 1 ++ 5.05 329 A Queens 18-17 1 3 - -2.50 401 A Louisville 10-12 -2 -1 -0.56 406 H South Florida 12-18 -6 -1 -- -4.50 410 H Lindenwood 23-12 11 5 1.21 412 H Kennesaw State 22-18 4 8 - -3.00 416 A James Madison 6-17 -11 -5 -1.22 426 A Jacksonville 10-18 -8 -1 -- -5.79 501 H Lindenwood 17-12 5 5 -0.79 503 H Coastal Carolina 14- 8 6 3 + 2.71 509 A Johns Hopkins 11-21 -10 -8 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 406 H South Florida 12-18 -6 -1 -- -4.50 426 A Jacksonville 10-18 -8 -1 -- -5.79 312 A Pittsburgh 6-15 -9 -3 - -3.80 329 A Queens 18-17 1 3 - -2.50 412 H Kennesaw State 22-18 4 8 - -3.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 A VCU 15- 8 7 2 ++ 4.87 226 H High Point 26-21 5 0 ++ 4.33 322 A Coastal Carolina 15- 7 8 1 ++ 5.05 222 A Richmond 14-13 1 -1 + 2.34 308 H American 22-13 9 4 + 2.73 503 H Coastal Carolina 14- 8 6 3 + 2.71
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 85.43 Power Rank................. 54 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 66.81 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 55 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6217 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 40 RPI Rating............... .5475 RPI Rank................... 39 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 77 Selection sum ........... 122 Selection Rank ............ 36 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -100. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 51 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -80. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 43 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 14.5 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 14.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 9.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 9.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 9.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.3